Statistics of Price Movements of Otter Tail Corp (OTTR)

The price movements of Otter Tail Corp (ticker OTTR) are summarized in five ways:

• Table 1. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing prices
• Table 2. Statistics of daily price changes using the closing and opening prices
• Table 3 – 7. Statistics of daily price changes when OTTR opened with an increase of 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, or more than 5%
• Table 8 – 10. Statistics of stock price changes in the 20 days after OTTR had a big price move
• Table 11. Statistics of daily price changes in the 20 days after OTTR moved 5% with twice the 30-day average volume

The statistics are calculated using OTTR's price data across 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020.

Table 1. Statistics of OTTR one-day price changes

In this table, the one-day price change is calculated using the closing price and the previous day's closing price.

In the past 1,547 trading days, 49.5% of the time (765 days), OTTR closed above the previous day's closing price. 45.8% of the time (708 days), it closed below the previous day's closing price. 4.7% of the time (73 days), it did not change.

Also see: VIX price movement study.

OTTR Price Change (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
24 – 25%	1	0.06%
11 – 12%	1	0.06%
10 – 11%	1	0.06%
9 – 10%	1	0.06%
8 – 9%	1	0.06%
7 – 8%	2	0.13%
6 – 7%	3	0.19%
5 – 6%	3	0.19%
4 – 5%	6	0.39%
3 – 4%	19	1.23%
2 – 3%	82	5.30%
1 – 2%	212	13.71%
0 – 1%	433	28.01%
0%	73	4.72%
0 – -1%	432	27.94%
-1 – -2%	165	10.67%
-2 – -3%	64	4.14%
-3 – -4%	25	1.62%
-4 – -5%	9	0.58%
-5 – -6%	5	0.32%
-6 – -7%	1	0.06%
-7 – -8%	2	0.13%
-8 – -9%	1	0.06%
-9 – -10%	1	0.06%
-15 – -16%	1	0.06%
-16 – -17%	1	0.06%
-20 – -21%	1	0.06%

Table 2. Statistics of OTTR: Closing vs. Open

In this table, instead of using the closing price of the previous day, the opening price is used to calculate the one-day price change of OTTR.

49.5% of the time (765 days), OTTR closed above the opening price. 45.5% of the time (704 days), it closed below the opening price. 5.0% of the time (78 days), it closed where it started.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
21 – 22%	1	0.06%
10 – 11%	1	0.06%
8 – 9%	2	0.13%
6 – 7%	3	0.19%
4 – 5%	8	0.52%
3 – 4%	9	0.58%
2 – 3%	64	4.14%
1 – 2%	220	14.22%
0 – 1%	457	29.54%
0%	78	5.04%
0 – -1%	436	28.18%
-1 – -2%	180	11.64%
-2 – -3%	60	3.88%
-3 – -4%	18	1.16%
-4 – -5%	4	0.26%
-5 – -6%	2	0.13%
-6 – -7%	1	0.06%
-8 – -9%	1	0.06%
-10 – -11%	1	0.06%
-16 – -17%	1	0.06%

Table 3. One-day performance when OTTR opened 5% higher than previous close

In the past 1,547 trading days, OTTR opened more than 5% higher than the previous day's closing price 3 times. Of these days, 33.3% (1 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 66.7% (2 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
4 – 5%	1	33.33%
0 – -1%	2	66.67%

Table 4. Closing vs. open when OTTR opened 4–5% higher

On 2 days, OTTR opened 4–5% higher than the previous day's closing price. Of these days, 50.0% (1 days) had closing prices above the opening price, and 50.0% (1 days) had closing prices below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
2 – 3%	1	50.00%
-1 – -2%	1	50.00%

Table 5. Closing vs. open when OTTR open 3 – 4% higher

3 times OTTR opened 3 – 4% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 33.3% (1 days) closed above the opening price, 66.7% (2 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
3 – 4%	1	33.33%
0 – -1%	1	33.33%
-2 – -3%	1	33.33%

Table 6. Closing vs. open when OTTR open 2 – 3% higher

13 times OTTR opened 2 – 3% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 46.2% (6 days) closed above the opening price, 53.8% (7 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
21 – 22%	1	7.69%
2 – 3%	1	7.69%
1 – 2%	2	15.38%
0 – 1%	2	15.38%
0 – -1%	5	38.46%
-2 – -3%	1	7.69%
-4 – -5%	1	7.69%

Table 7. Closing vs. open when OTTR open 1 – 2% higher

39 times OTTR opened 1 – 2% higher than the previous day's closing price. Among these days, 56.4% (22 days) closed above the opening price, 43.6% (17 days) closed below the opening price.

Closing - Open (%)	Number of Days	% of Total Sessions
10 – 11%	1	2.56%
8 – 9%	1	2.56%
6 – 7%	1	2.56%
2 – 3%	5	12.82%
1 – 2%	7	17.95%
0 – 1%	7	17.95%
0 – -1%	7	17.95%
-1 – -2%	5	12.82%
-2 – -3%	4	10.26%
-6 – -7%	1	2.56%

Table 8. Periods when OTTR moved 15% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after OTTR had a one-day price change of at least 15%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 15% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200317	24.8%	-2.5	-10.6	6.6	7.5	3.6	8.0	11.5
20200312	-15.8%	9.6	5.7	-3.1	15.6	16.5	12.3	17.1
20200320	-16.4%	2.3	22.0	23.0	18.6	23.6	27.7	22.6
20200316	-20.7%	24.9	9.1	19.0	39.4	30.8	31.9	43.5

Table 8a. OTTR average price changes following a 15% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 1 days in which OTTR was up more than 15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 1 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 15%	-2.5	-10.6	6.6	7.5	3.6	8.0	11.5

Table 8b. OTTR average price changes following a 15% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 3 days in which OTTR was down more than -15%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -15%	12.3	12.3	13.0	24.5	23.7	24.0	27.7

Table 9. Periods when OTTR moved 10% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after OTTR had a one-day price change of at least 10%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 10% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200317	24.8%	-2.5	-10.6	6.6	7.5	3.6	8.0	11.5
20200326	11.8%	-1.7	-4.4	4.4	7.8	6.3	3.3	-.9
20200324	10.3%	-3.5	13.1	6.2	7.1	16.5	6.2	7.6
20200312	-15.8%	9.6	5.7	-3.1	15.6	16.5	12.3	17.1
20200320	-16.4%	2.3	22.0	23.0	18.6	23.6	27.7	22.6
20200316	-20.7%	24.9	9.1	19.0	39.4	30.8	31.9	43.5

Table 9a. OTTR average price changes following a 10% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 3 days in which OTTR was up more than 10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 10%	-2.6	-.6	5.7	7.5	8.8	5.8	6.1

Table 9b. OTTR average price changes following a 10% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 3 days in which OTTR was down more than -10%. This table shows the average price changes over the 3 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -10%	12.3	12.3	13.0	24.5	23.7	24.0	27.7

Table 10. Periods when OTTR moved 5% or more

In this table, we track the price movements in the 20 days after OTTR had a one-day price change of at least 5%.

Date	Price Change	Price Change after 5% Move
Days after:		1	4	7	10	13	16	19
20200317	24.8%	-2.5	-10.6	6.6	7.5	3.6	8.0	11.5
20200326	11.8%	-1.7	-4.4	4.4	7.8	6.3	3.3	-.9
20200324	10.3%	-3.5	13.1	6.2	7.1	16.5	6.2	7.6
20200313	9.5%	-20.7	3.5	-2.3	3.6	.8	10.2	13.8
20150804	8.6%	-.7	-.0	-1.4	-2.4	-4.6	-7.9	-7.8
20200406	7.4%	-5.1	3.3	-5.8	-4.6	-6.0	-2.1	-6.8
20200319	7.2%	-16.5	-8.9	6.7	.2	1.0	9.9	.2
20200330	6.5%	-3.7	-7.2	-3.2	-.1	-4.1	-4.8	-6.3
20200518	6.5%	-4.1	.4	3.2	1.8	1.5	3.7	-3.2
20200409	6.4%	.0	-8.8	-7.6	-9.0	-5.2	-9.8	-13.2
20181106	5.2%	1.2	.5	.6	-.2	.3	2.9	4.2
20201109	5.1%	3.9	-1.9	-1.0	-2.0	.2	-2.5	-1.1
20161213	5%	-1.9	-.2	-1.3	-.6	-1.4	-1.8	-6.4
20200407	-5%	2.2	5.6	1.3	.5	-1.0	5.7	-.6
20201028	-5%	.0	9.1	5.0	8.3	5.0	9.3	4.1
20150505	-5.1%	-1.6	-1.9	-4.3	-4.5	-4.5	-4.3	-3.8
20200401	-5.2%	2.9	3.7	12.8	2.9	4.2	2.7	7.0
20161212	-5.5%	5.1	4.8	3.2	3.9	4.2	.8	1.1
20201112	-6.8%	1.9	2.8	1.9	4.1	1.3	2.8	6.6
20200415	-7.4%	2.2	1.4	-.2	6.6	.2	-4.0	-6.4
20200611	-7.5%	.7	-1.3	-1.4	-4.5	-2.1	-.9	-4.0
20200309	-8.3%	1.8	-10.2	-13.4	-20.6	-5.3	-4.5	-8.0
20191105	-9%	-.4	-3.2	-4.8	-5.4	-4.6	-3.6	-4.8
20200312	-15.8%	9.6	5.7	-3.1	15.6	16.5	12.3	17.1
20200320	-16.4%	2.3	22.0	23.0	18.6	23.6	27.7	22.6
20200316	-20.7%	24.9	9.1	19.0	39.4	30.8	31.9	43.5

Table 10a. OTTR average price changes following a 5% up day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 13 days in which OTTR was up more than 5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 13 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ 5%	-4.3	-1.6	.4	.7	.7	1.2	-.6

Table 10b. OTTR average price changes following a 5% down day

Of the 1,547 trading days from 2015 to 2020, there were 13 days in which OTTR was down more than -5%. This table shows the average price changes over the 13 days.

Average Type	Average Price Change
Days after:	1	4	7	10	13	16	19
Avg for Change ≥ -5%	4.0	3.7	3.0	5.0	5.3	5.8	5.7

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Also see: VIX price movement study.