健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-19 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 1 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 5 | 10 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 5 | 15 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 3 | 18 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 13 | 31 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 5 | 36 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 7 | 43 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 21 | 64 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 20 | 85 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 26 | 111 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 31 | 142 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 39 | 181 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 46 | 227 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 55 | 281 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 66 | 347 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 75 | 422 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 88 | 510 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 99 | 610 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 106 | 716 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 111 | 826 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 132 | 958 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 119 | 1078 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 138 | 1216 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 136 | 1351 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 127 | 1479 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 125 | 1604 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 121 | 1725 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 114 | 1839 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 106 | 1945 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 89 | 2034 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 68 | 2102 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 48 | 2150 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 25 | 2175 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 23 | 2198 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 19 | 2217 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 17 | 2235 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 16 | 2251 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 13 | 2264 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 11 | 2275 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 10 | 2285 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 8 | 2293 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 7 | 2300 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 6 | 2305 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 4 | 2310 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 4 | 2314 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 3 | 2317 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 2 | 2319 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 2 | 2321 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 1 | 2322 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 1 | 2323 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 1 | 2324 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 1 | 2325 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 0 | 2325 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 2326 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报