健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-19 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 3 | 7 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 1 | 8 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 1 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 1 | 10 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 3 | 13 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 0 | 13 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 2 | 15 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 3 | 18 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 4 | 22 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 3 | 25 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 4 | 29 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 4 | 34 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 5 | 38 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 5 | 44 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 6 | 49 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 6 | 56 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 7 | 62 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 8 | 70 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 8 | 78 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 9 | 86 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 8 | 95 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 10 | 105 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 9 | 114 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 10 | 124 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 12 | 136 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 11 | 147 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 12 | 159 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 11 | 170 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 11 | 181 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 11 | 192 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 11 | 203 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 10 | 214 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 10 | 224 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 9 | 233 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 9 | 242 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 8 | 250 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 7 | 257 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 8 | 265 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 7 | 272 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 7 | 279 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 6 | 285 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 6 | 291 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 6 | 297 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 6 | 303 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 5 | 308 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 4 | 312 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 4 | 317 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 4 | 321 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 4 | 324 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 3 | 328 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 3 | 331 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 3 | 334 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 3 | 336 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 2 | 338 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 2 | 341 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 2 | 342 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 2 | 344 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 1 | 345 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 1 | 347 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 1 | 348 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 1 | 348 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 1 | 349 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 1 | 350 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 1 | 350 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 351 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 351 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 351 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 352 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报