健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-16 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-17 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-18 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-19 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 2 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 2 | 7 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 2 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 4 | 13 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 2 | 15 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 1 | 16 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 2 | 18 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 4 | 22 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 4 | 26 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 5 | 31 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 3 | 34 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 7 | 41 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 6 | 47 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 6 | 53 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 7 | 60 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 7 | 67 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 8 | 75 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 8 | 83 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 9 | 91 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 9 | 100 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 9 | 109 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 10 | 120 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 10 | 129 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 11 | 140 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 10 | 150 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 11 | 162 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 12 | 173 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 13 | 187 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 13 | 200 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 13 | 213 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 13 | 226 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 13 | 240 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 14 | 253 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 14 | 267 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 14 | 281 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 13 | 293 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 14 | 307 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 12 | 319 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 13 | 332 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 11 | 343 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 11 | 354 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 10 | 364 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 9 | 373 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 8 | 381 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 8 | 389 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 7 | 396 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 6 | 402 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 5 | 408 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 5 | 413 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 4 | 417 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 4 | 421 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 4 | 424 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 3 | 427 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 3 | 430 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 2 | 432 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 2 | 434 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 1 | 436 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 1 | 437 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 1 | 438 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 1 | 439 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 1 | 440 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 1 | 440 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 441 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 442 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报