健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-26 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 2020-02-27 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-02-28 | 2 | 5 | ||
| 2020-02-29 | 1 | 6 | ||
| 2020-03-01 | 3 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-02 | 2 | 11 | ||
| 2020-03-03 | 4 | 15 | ||
| 2020-03-04 | 2 | 17 | ||
| 2020-03-05 | 4 | 21 | ||
| 2020-03-06 | 6 | 27 | ||
| 2020-03-07 | 0 | 27 | ||
| 2020-03-08 | 6 | 33 | ||
| 2020-03-09 | 4 | 37 | ||
| 2020-03-10 | 2 | 39 | ||
| 2020-03-11 | 4 | 43 | ||
| 2020-03-12 | 4 | 47 | ||
| 2020-03-13 | 2 | 49 | ||
| 2020-03-14 | 3 | 52 | ||
| 2020-03-15 | 4 | 56 | ||
| 2020-03-16 | 10 | 66 | ||
| 2020-03-17 | 8 | 74 | ||
| 2020-03-18 | 5 | 79 | ||
| 2020-03-19 | 9 | 88 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 12 | 100 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 6 | 106 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 11 | 117 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 4 | 121 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 11 | 132 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 10 | 142 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 16 | 158 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 24 | 182 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 16 | 198 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 16 | 214 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 14 | 228 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 5 | 233 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 22 | 255 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 18 | 273 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 19 | 292 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 18 | 310 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 18 | 328 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 19 | 347 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 18 | 365 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 18 | 384 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 18 | 402 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 17 | 419 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 17 | 436 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 17 | 453 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 17 | 469 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 15 | 485 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 15 | 500 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 14 | 514 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 13 | 528 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 12 | 540 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 12 | 552 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 11 | 562 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 10 | 572 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 9 | 582 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 9 | 590 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 7 | 597 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 6 | 604 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 5 | 609 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 4 | 613 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 3 | 616 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 2 | 619 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 2 | 621 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 2 | 623 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 2 | 625 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 1 | 626 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 1 | 627 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 1 | 628 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 1 | 629 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 1 | 630 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 1 | 631 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 1 | 631 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 632 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报