健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-28 | 2 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 4 | 8 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 2 | 10 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 2 | 12 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 2 | 14 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 6 | 20 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 5 | 25 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 6 | 31 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 7 | 38 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 7 | 45 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 8 | 53 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 9 | 61 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 10 | 71 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 11 | 82 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 11 | 93 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 13 | 106 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 13 | 119 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 16 | 135 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 16 | 151 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 18 | 169 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 21 | 189 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 22 | 211 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 25 | 237 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 24 | 261 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 26 | 287 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 29 | 316 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 32 | 348 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 28 | 377 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 35 | 412 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 37 | 449 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 40 | 489 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 32 | 521 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 28 | 549 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 34 | 583 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 27 | 610 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 28 | 638 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 26 | 664 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 29 | 693 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 26 | 719 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 27 | 746 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 25 | 771 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 22 | 794 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 23 | 816 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 20 | 836 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 19 | 855 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 15 | 871 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 13 | 883 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 12 | 895 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 10 | 906 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 9 | 915 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 9 | 923 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 7 | 931 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 7 | 937 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 5 | 942 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 5 | 947 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 4 | 950 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 3 | 953 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 2 | 956 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 2 | 958 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 2 | 960 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 1 | 961 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 1 | 963 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 1 | 964 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 1 | 964 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 1 | 965 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 965 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 966 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报