健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-17 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-18 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-19 | 2 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 2 | 7 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 2 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 3 | 12 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 3 | 15 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 6 | 21 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 5 | 26 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 4 | 30 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 7 | 37 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 8 | 45 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 9 | 54 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 12 | 66 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 11 | 77 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 23 | 100 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 16 | 116 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 23 | 140 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 25 | 165 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 29 | 194 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 33 | 227 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 37 | 264 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 39 | 303 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 47 | 350 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 46 | 396 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 54 | 450 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 57 | 507 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 59 | 565 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 58 | 624 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 65 | 688 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 70 | 758 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 71 | 829 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 72 | 901 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 70 | 971 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 70 | 1041 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 70 | 1111 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 70 | 1181 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 67 | 1249 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 64 | 1313 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 61 | 1374 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 56 | 1430 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 51 | 1481 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 51 | 1531 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 48 | 1579 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 44 | 1624 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 42 | 1666 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 39 | 1705 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 37 | 1742 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 34 | 1775 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 31 | 1806 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 28 | 1833 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 25 | 1858 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 23 | 1881 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 20 | 1901 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 18 | 1919 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 16 | 1935 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 13 | 1948 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 12 | 1961 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 11 | 1971 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 9 | 1980 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 8 | 1988 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 7 | 1995 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 6 | 2000 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 5 | 2005 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 4 | 2009 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 3 | 2012 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 3 | 2015 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 2 | 2017 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 2 | 2019 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 1 | 2020 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 1 | 2021 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 1 | 2022 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 1 | 2023 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 1 | 2023 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 2024 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 2024 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 2024 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 2025 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报