健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-19 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 2 | 5 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 2 | 7 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 1 | 8 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 7 | 15 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 1 | 16 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 0 | 16 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 7 | 23 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 7 | 30 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 4 | 34 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 4 | 38 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 12 | 50 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 10 | 60 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 10 | 70 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 11 | 81 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 13 | 94 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 15 | 109 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 15 | 125 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 17 | 141 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 19 | 160 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 19 | 179 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 21 | 200 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 22 | 223 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 24 | 246 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 23 | 270 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 24 | 294 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 26 | 320 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 26 | 346 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 27 | 373 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 28 | 401 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 27 | 428 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 29 | 457 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 28 | 484 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 27 | 512 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 27 | 539 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 25 | 564 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 26 | 590 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 24 | 615 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 23 | 637 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 22 | 659 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 19 | 678 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 18 | 696 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 16 | 712 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 14 | 727 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 13 | 739 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 11 | 750 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 10 | 761 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 8 | 769 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 8 | 777 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 6 | 783 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 5 | 788 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 5 | 793 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 4 | 797 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 3 | 800 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 3 | 803 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 2 | 805 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 2 | 807 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 1 | 808 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 1 | 809 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 1 | 810 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 1 | 811 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 1 | 812 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 0 | 812 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 0 | 812 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 813 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报