健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)是位于华盛顿大学的全球健康研究中心 [1]。 该研究所建立的新冠肺炎(COVID-19)预报模型被美国政府所引用并被各地方政府用于预测疫情发展对当地医疗机构的负荷压力 [2],[3]。 本文用该研究所发布的数据来图示美国及各州新冠肺炎死亡人数及预测。 预测仅限于到八月为止的第一波新冠肺炎流行期。
| 日期 | 单日死亡人数 | 累计死亡人数 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-10 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-11 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-12 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-13 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-14 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 2020-03-15 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-16 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 2020-03-17 | 1 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-18 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 2020-03-19 | 6 | 9 | ||
| 2020-03-20 | 2 | 11 | ||
| 2020-03-21 | 5 | 16 | ||
| 2020-03-22 | 4 | 20 | ||
| 2020-03-23 | 7 | 27 | ||
| 2020-03-24 | 17 | 44 | ||
| 2020-03-25 | 18 | 62 | ||
| 2020-03-26 | 19 | 81 | ||
| 2020-03-27 | 27 | 108 | ||
| 2020-03-28 | 32 | 140 | ||
| 2020-03-29 | 21 | 161 | ||
| 2020-03-30 | 37 | 198 | ||
| 2020-03-31 | 69 | 267 | ||
| 2020-04-01 | 88 | 355 | ||
| 2020-04-02 | 182 | 537 | ||
| 2020-04-03 | 109 | 646 | ||
| 2020-04-04 | 210 | 856 | ||
| 2020-04-05 | 207 | 1062 | ||
| 2020-04-06 | 247 | 1309 | ||
| 2020-04-07 | 282 | 1591 | ||
| 2020-04-08 | 329 | 1920 | ||
| 2020-04-09 | 366 | 2286 | ||
| 2020-04-10 | 433 | 2719 | ||
| 2020-04-11 | 447 | 3166 | ||
| 2020-04-12 | 494 | 3660 | ||
| 2020-04-13 | 475 | 4135 | ||
| 2020-04-14 | 444 | 4579 | ||
| 2020-04-15 | 513 | 5092 | ||
| 2020-04-16 | 584 | 5676 | ||
| 2020-04-17 | 499 | 6176 | ||
| 2020-04-18 | 513 | 6688 | ||
| 2020-04-19 | 477 | 7166 | ||
| 2020-04-20 | 458 | 7624 | ||
| 2020-04-21 | 405 | 8029 | ||
| 2020-04-22 | 371 | 8400 | ||
| 2020-04-23 | 314 | 8714 | ||
| 2020-04-24 | 268 | 8983 | ||
| 2020-04-25 | 218 | 9200 | ||
| 2020-04-26 | 160 | 9360 | ||
| 2020-04-27 | 119 | 9479 | ||
| 2020-04-28 | 74 | 9553 | ||
| 2020-04-29 | 34 | 9588 | ||
| 2020-04-30 | 27 | 9614 | ||
| 2020-05-01 | 21 | 9635 | ||
| 2020-05-02 | 16 | 9650 | ||
| 2020-05-03 | 12 | 9662 | ||
| 2020-05-04 | 9 | 9671 | ||
| 2020-05-05 | 6 | 9677 | ||
| 2020-05-06 | 4 | 9682 | ||
| 2020-05-07 | 3 | 9685 | ||
| 2020-05-08 | 2 | 9687 | ||
| 2020-05-09 | 1 | 9688 | ||
| 2020-05-10 | 1 | 9689 | ||
| 2020-05-11 | 1 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-12 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-13 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-14 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-15 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-16 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-17 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-18 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-19 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-20 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-21 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-22 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-23 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-24 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-25 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-26 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-27 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-28 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-29 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-30 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-05-31 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-01 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-02 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-03 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-04 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-05 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-06 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-07 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-08 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-09 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-10 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-11 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-12 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-13 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-14 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-15 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-16 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-17 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-18 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-19 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-20 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-21 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-22 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-23 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-24 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-25 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-26 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-27 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-28 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-29 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-06-30 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-01 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-02 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-03 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-04 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-05 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-06 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-07 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-08 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-09 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-10 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-11 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-12 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-13 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-14 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-15 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-16 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-17 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-18 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-19 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-20 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-21 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-22 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-23 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-24 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-25 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-26 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-27 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-28 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-29 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-30 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-07-31 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-08-01 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-08-02 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-08-03 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 2020-08-04 | 0 | 9690 | ||
| 数据来源: 2020年4月5日数据发布 | ||||
[1] IHME
[2] 新冠肺炎预报