COVID-19 deaths and projections in United States of America

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-02-26	2		2
2020-02-27	1		3
2020-02-28	2		5
2020-02-29	1		6
2020-03-01	3		9
2020-03-02	2		11
2020-03-03	4		15
2020-03-04	3		18
2020-03-05	4		22
2020-03-06	6		28
2020-03-07	0		28
2020-03-08	8		36
2020-03-09	4		40
2020-03-10	4		44
2020-03-11	6		50
2020-03-12	6		56
2020-03-13	3		59
2020-03-14	10		69
2020-03-15	10		79
2020-03-16	24		103
2020-03-17	24		127
2020-03-18	15		142
2020-03-19	72		214
2020-03-20	47		261
2020-03-21	57		318
2020-03-22	126		444
2020-03-23	116		560
2020-03-24	158		718
2020-03-25	230		948
2020-03-26	266		1,214
2020-03-27	386		1,600
2020-03-28	430		2,030
2020-03-29	447		2,477
2020-03-30	520		2,997
2020-03-31	877		3,874
2020-04-01	891		4,765
2020-04-02	1,149		5,914
2020-04-03	1,157		7,071
2020-04-04	1,755		8,826
2020-04-05	1,745		10,571
2020-04-06	1,967		12,539
2020-04-07	2,140		14,678
2020-04-08	2,348		17,026
2020-04-09	2,532		19,559
2020-04-10	2,680		22,239
2020-04-11	2,821		25,060
2020-04-12	3,045		28,105
2020-04-13	2,896		31,001
2020-04-14	3,067		34,068
2020-04-15	3,039		37,107
2020-04-16	3,130		40,237
2020-04-17	3,042		43,279
2020-04-18	3,077		46,356
2020-04-19	2,921		49,278
2020-04-20	2,858		52,136
2020-04-21	2,722		54,857
2020-04-22	2,595		57,453
2020-04-23	2,408		59,860
2020-04-24	2,229		62,089
2020-04-25	2,064		64,153
2020-04-26	1,837		65,990
2020-04-27	1,590		67,579
2020-04-28	1,359		68,938
2020-04-29	1,104		70,042
2020-04-30	1,044		71,086
2020-05-01	971		72,058
2020-05-02	909		72,967
2020-05-03	850		73,816
2020-05-04	786		74,602
2020-05-05	726		75,328
2020-05-06	671		75,999
2020-05-07	636		76,635
2020-05-08	570		77,204
2020-05-09	525		77,729
2020-05-10	470		78,199
2020-05-11	440		78,639
2020-05-12	389		79,029
2020-05-13	351		79,380
2020-05-14	309		79,689
2020-05-15	277		79,965
2020-05-16	248		80,213
2020-05-17	213		80,426
2020-05-18	192		80,618
2020-05-19	169		80,787
2020-05-20	146		80,933
2020-05-21	124		81,057
2020-05-22	108		81,165
2020-05-23	94		81,259
2020-05-24	81		81,341
2020-05-25	69		81,409
2020-05-26	58		81,468
2020-05-27	50		81,518
2020-05-28	42		81,560
2020-05-29	36		81,596
2020-05-30	30		81,626
2020-05-31	24		81,650
2020-06-01	21		81,671
2020-06-02	17		81,688
2020-06-03	15		81,703
2020-06-04	12		81,715
2020-06-05	10		81,725
2020-06-06	8		81,733
2020-06-07	7		81,740
2020-06-08	5		81,745
2020-06-09	4		81,750
2020-06-10	4		81,753
2020-06-11	3		81,756
2020-06-12	2		81,758
2020-06-13	2		81,760
2020-06-14	1		81,761
2020-06-15	1		81,762
2020-06-16	1		81,763
2020-06-17	1		81,764
2020-06-18	1		81,765
2020-06-19	0		81,765
2020-06-20	0		81,765
2020-06-21	0		81,765
2020-06-22	0		81,766
2020-06-23	0		81,766
2020-06-24	0		81,766
2020-06-25	0		81,766
2020-06-26	0		81,766
2020-06-27	0		81,766
2020-06-28	0		81,766
2020-06-29	0		81,766
2020-06-30	0		81,766
2020-07-01	0		81,766
2020-07-02	0		81,766
2020-07-03	0		81,766
2020-07-04	0		81,766
2020-07-05	0		81,766
2020-07-06	0		81,766
2020-07-07	0		81,766
2020-07-08	0		81,766
2020-07-09	0		81,766
2020-07-10	0		81,766
2020-07-11	0		81,766
2020-07-12	0		81,766
2020-07-13	0		81,766
2020-07-14	0		81,766
2020-07-15	0		81,766
2020-07-16	0		81,766
2020-07-17	0		81,766
2020-07-18	0		81,766
2020-07-19	0		81,766
2020-07-20	0		81,766
2020-07-21	0		81,766
2020-07-22	0		81,766
2020-07-23	0		81,766
2020-07-24	0		81,766
2020-07-25	0		81,766
2020-07-26	0		81,766
2020-07-27	0		81,766
2020-07-28	0		81,766
2020-07-29	0		81,766
2020-07-30	0		81,766
2020-07-31	0		81,766
2020-08-01	0		81,766
2020-08-02	0		81,766
2020-08-03	0		81,766
2020-08-04	0		81,766
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages