COVID-19 deaths and projections in New York

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

New York: Deaths and predictions during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths
DateDaily deathsTotal deaths
2020-03-142
2
2020-03-151
3
2020-03-167
10
2020-03-173
13
2020-03-183
16
2020-03-1918
34
2020-03-208
42
2020-03-2118
60
2020-03-2257
117
2020-03-2341
158
2020-03-2452
210
2020-03-2575
285
2020-03-26100
385
2020-03-27142
527
2020-03-28201
728
2020-03-29237
965
2020-03-30253
1,218
2020-03-31332
1,550
2020-04-01391
1,941
2020-04-02432
2,373
2020-04-03562
2,935
2020-04-04668
3,603
2020-04-05713
4,316
2020-04-06784
5,100
2020-04-07806
5,906
2020-04-08830
6,736
2020-04-09878
7,614
2020-04-10848
8,461
2020-04-11865
9,326
2020-04-12873
10,199
2020-04-13754
10,953
2020-04-14743
11,696
2020-04-15676
12,372
2020-04-16608
12,980
2020-04-17505
13,485
2020-04-18460
13,946
2020-04-19382
14,328
2020-04-20301
14,629
2020-04-21240
14,869
2020-04-22202
15,071
2020-04-23148
15,219
2020-04-24116
15,335
2020-04-2585
15,420
2020-04-2662
15,482
2020-04-2744
15,526
2020-04-2831
15,556
2020-04-2921
15,577
2020-04-3014
15,591
2020-05-0110
15,601
2020-05-026
15,607
2020-05-034
15,611
2020-05-043
15,614
2020-05-052
15,616
2020-05-061
15,617
2020-05-071
15,618
2020-05-080
15,618
2020-05-090
15,618
2020-05-100
15,618
2020-05-110
15,618
2020-05-120
15,618
2020-05-130
15,618
2020-05-140
15,618
2020-05-150
15,618
2020-05-160
15,618
2020-05-170
15,618
2020-05-180
15,618
2020-05-190
15,618
2020-05-200
15,618
2020-05-210
15,618
2020-05-220
15,618
2020-05-230
15,618
2020-05-240
15,618
2020-05-250
15,618
2020-05-260
15,618
2020-05-270
15,618
2020-05-280
15,618
2020-05-290
15,618
2020-05-300
15,618
2020-05-310
15,618
2020-06-010
15,618
2020-06-020
15,618
2020-06-030
15,618
2020-06-040
15,618
2020-06-050
15,618
2020-06-060
15,618
2020-06-070
15,618
2020-06-080
15,618
2020-06-090
15,618
2020-06-100
15,618
2020-06-110
15,618
2020-06-120
15,618
2020-06-130
15,618
2020-06-140
15,618
2020-06-150
15,618
2020-06-160
15,618
2020-06-170
15,618
2020-06-180
15,618
2020-06-190
15,618
2020-06-200
15,618
2020-06-210
15,618
2020-06-220
15,618
2020-06-230
15,618
2020-06-240
15,618
2020-06-250
15,618
2020-06-260
15,618
2020-06-270
15,618
2020-06-280
15,618
2020-06-290
15,618
2020-06-300
15,618
2020-07-010
15,618
2020-07-020
15,618
2020-07-030
15,618
2020-07-040
15,618
2020-07-050
15,618
2020-07-060
15,618
2020-07-070
15,618
2020-07-080
15,618
2020-07-090
15,618
2020-07-100
15,618
2020-07-110
15,618
2020-07-120
15,618
2020-07-130
15,618
2020-07-140
15,618
2020-07-150
15,618
2020-07-160
15,618
2020-07-170
15,618
2020-07-180
15,618
2020-07-190
15,618
2020-07-200
15,618
2020-07-210
15,618
2020-07-220
15,618
2020-07-230
15,618
2020-07-240
15,618
2020-07-250
15,618
2020-07-260
15,618
2020-07-270
15,618
2020-07-280
15,618
2020-07-290
15,618
2020-07-300
15,618
2020-07-310
15,618
2020-08-010
15,618
2020-08-020
15,618
2020-08-030
15,618
2020-08-040
15,618
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages

Projections COVID-19 deaths in 50 states

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