COVID-19 deaths and projections in New Jersey

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-10	1		1
2020-03-11	0		1
2020-03-12	0		1
2020-03-13	0		1
2020-03-14	0		1
2020-03-15	1		2
2020-03-16	0		2
2020-03-17	1		3
2020-03-18	0		3
2020-03-19	6		9
2020-03-20	2		11
2020-03-21	5		16
2020-03-22	4		20
2020-03-23	7		27
2020-03-24	17		44
2020-03-25	18		62
2020-03-26	19		81
2020-03-27	27		108
2020-03-28	32		140
2020-03-29	21		161
2020-03-30	37		198
2020-03-31	69		267
2020-04-01	88		355
2020-04-02	182		537
2020-04-03	109		646
2020-04-04	210		856
2020-04-05	207		1,062
2020-04-06	247		1,309
2020-04-07	282		1,591
2020-04-08	329		1,920
2020-04-09	366		2,286
2020-04-10	433		2,719
2020-04-11	447		3,166
2020-04-12	494		3,660
2020-04-13	475		4,135
2020-04-14	444		4,579
2020-04-15	513		5,092
2020-04-16	584		5,676
2020-04-17	499		6,176
2020-04-18	513		6,688
2020-04-19	477		7,166
2020-04-20	458		7,624
2020-04-21	405		8,029
2020-04-22	371		8,400
2020-04-23	314		8,714
2020-04-24	268		8,983
2020-04-25	218		9,200
2020-04-26	160		9,360
2020-04-27	119		9,479
2020-04-28	74		9,553
2020-04-29	34		9,588
2020-04-30	27		9,614
2020-05-01	21		9,635
2020-05-02	16		9,650
2020-05-03	12		9,662
2020-05-04	9		9,671
2020-05-05	6		9,677
2020-05-06	4		9,682
2020-05-07	3		9,685
2020-05-08	2		9,687
2020-05-09	1		9,688
2020-05-10	1		9,689
2020-05-11	1		9,690
2020-05-12	0		9,690
2020-05-13	0		9,690
2020-05-14	0		9,690
2020-05-15	0		9,690
2020-05-16	0		9,690
2020-05-17	0		9,690
2020-05-18	0		9,690
2020-05-19	0		9,690
2020-05-20	0		9,690
2020-05-21	0		9,690
2020-05-22	0		9,690
2020-05-23	0		9,690
2020-05-24	0		9,690
2020-05-25	0		9,690
2020-05-26	0		9,690
2020-05-27	0		9,690
2020-05-28	0		9,690
2020-05-29	0		9,690
2020-05-30	0		9,690
2020-05-31	0		9,690
2020-06-01	0		9,690
2020-06-02	0		9,690
2020-06-03	0		9,690
2020-06-04	0		9,690
2020-06-05	0		9,690
2020-06-06	0		9,690
2020-06-07	0		9,690
2020-06-08	0		9,690
2020-06-09	0		9,690
2020-06-10	0		9,690
2020-06-11	0		9,690
2020-06-12	0		9,690
2020-06-13	0		9,690
2020-06-14	0		9,690
2020-06-15	0		9,690
2020-06-16	0		9,690
2020-06-17	0		9,690
2020-06-18	0		9,690
2020-06-19	0		9,690
2020-06-20	0		9,690
2020-06-21	0		9,690
2020-06-22	0		9,690
2020-06-23	0		9,690
2020-06-24	0		9,690
2020-06-25	0		9,690
2020-06-26	0		9,690
2020-06-27	0		9,690
2020-06-28	0		9,690
2020-06-29	0		9,690
2020-06-30	0		9,690
2020-07-01	0		9,690
2020-07-02	0		9,690
2020-07-03	0		9,690
2020-07-04	0		9,690
2020-07-05	0		9,690
2020-07-06	0		9,690
2020-07-07	0		9,690
2020-07-08	0		9,690
2020-07-09	0		9,690
2020-07-10	0		9,690
2020-07-11	0		9,690
2020-07-12	0		9,690
2020-07-13	0		9,690
2020-07-14	0		9,690
2020-07-15	0		9,690
2020-07-16	0		9,690
2020-07-17	0		9,690
2020-07-18	0		9,690
2020-07-19	0		9,690
2020-07-20	0		9,690
2020-07-21	0		9,690
2020-07-22	0		9,690
2020-07-23	0		9,690
2020-07-24	0		9,690
2020-07-25	0		9,690
2020-07-26	0		9,690
2020-07-27	0		9,690
2020-07-28	0		9,690
2020-07-29	0		9,690
2020-07-30	0		9,690
2020-07-31	0		9,690
2020-08-01	0		9,690
2020-08-02	0		9,690
2020-08-03	0		9,690
2020-08-04	0		9,690
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages