COVID-19 deaths and projections in South Carolina

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-16	1		1
2020-03-17	0		1
2020-03-18	0		1
2020-03-19	0		1
2020-03-20	0		1
2020-03-21	2		3
2020-03-22	0		3
2020-03-23	2		5
2020-03-24	0		5
2020-03-25	2		7
2020-03-26	2		9
2020-03-27	4		13
2020-03-28	2		15
2020-03-29	1		16
2020-03-30	2		18
2020-03-31	4		22
2020-04-01	4		26
2020-04-02	5		31
2020-04-03	3		34
2020-04-04	7		41
2020-04-05	6		47
2020-04-06	6		53
2020-04-07	7		60
2020-04-08	7		67
2020-04-09	8		75
2020-04-10	8		83
2020-04-11	9		91
2020-04-12	9		100
2020-04-13	9		109
2020-04-14	10		120
2020-04-15	10		129
2020-04-16	11		140
2020-04-17	10		150
2020-04-18	11		162
2020-04-19	12		173
2020-04-20	13		187
2020-04-21	13		200
2020-04-22	13		213
2020-04-23	13		226
2020-04-24	13		240
2020-04-25	14		253
2020-04-26	14		267
2020-04-27	14		281
2020-04-28	13		293
2020-04-29	14		307
2020-04-30	12		319
2020-05-01	13		332
2020-05-02	11		343
2020-05-03	11		354
2020-05-04	10		364
2020-05-05	9		373
2020-05-06	8		381
2020-05-07	8		389
2020-05-08	7		396
2020-05-09	6		402
2020-05-10	5		408
2020-05-11	5		413
2020-05-12	4		417
2020-05-13	4		421
2020-05-14	4		424
2020-05-15	3		427
2020-05-16	3		430
2020-05-17	2		432
2020-05-18	2		434
2020-05-19	1		436
2020-05-20	1		437
2020-05-21	1		438
2020-05-22	1		439
2020-05-23	1		440
2020-05-24	1		440
2020-05-25	0		441
2020-05-26	0		441
2020-05-27	0		441
2020-05-28	0		441
2020-05-29	0		441
2020-05-30	0		441
2020-05-31	0		442
2020-06-01	0		442
2020-06-02	0		442
2020-06-03	0		442
2020-06-04	0		442
2020-06-05	0		442
2020-06-06	0		442
2020-06-07	0		442
2020-06-08	0		442
2020-06-09	0		442
2020-06-10	0		442
2020-06-11	0		442
2020-06-12	0		442
2020-06-13	0		442
2020-06-14	0		442
2020-06-15	0		442
2020-06-16	0		442
2020-06-17	0		442
2020-06-18	0		442
2020-06-19	0		442
2020-06-20	0		442
2020-06-21	0		442
2020-06-22	0		442
2020-06-23	0		442
2020-06-24	0		442
2020-06-25	0		442
2020-06-26	0		442
2020-06-27	0		442
2020-06-28	0		442
2020-06-29	0		442
2020-06-30	0		442
2020-07-01	0		442
2020-07-02	0		442
2020-07-03	0		442
2020-07-04	0		442
2020-07-05	0		442
2020-07-06	0		442
2020-07-07	0		442
2020-07-08	0		442
2020-07-09	0		442
2020-07-10	0		442
2020-07-11	0		442
2020-07-12	0		442
2020-07-13	0		442
2020-07-14	0		442
2020-07-15	0		442
2020-07-16	0		442
2020-07-17	0		442
2020-07-18	0		442
2020-07-19	0		442
2020-07-20	0		442
2020-07-21	0		442
2020-07-22	0		442
2020-07-23	0		442
2020-07-24	0		442
2020-07-25	0		442
2020-07-26	0		442
2020-07-27	0		442
2020-07-28	0		442
2020-07-29	0		442
2020-07-30	0		442
2020-07-31	0		442
2020-08-01	0		442
2020-08-02	0		442
2020-08-03	0		442
2020-08-04	0		442
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages