COVID-19 deaths and projections in Alaska

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-25	1		1
2020-03-26	0		1
2020-03-27	0		1
2020-03-28	1		2
2020-03-29	0		2
2020-03-30	1		3
2020-03-31	0		3
2020-04-01	0		3
2020-04-02	0		3
2020-04-03	0		3
2020-04-04	14		17
2020-04-05	9		26
2020-04-06	11		37
2020-04-07	14		51
2020-04-08	14		65
2020-04-09	13		77
2020-04-10	16		94
2020-04-11	12		105
2020-04-12	17		123
2020-04-13	12		134
2020-04-14	12		146
2020-04-15	10		156
2020-04-16	12		168
2020-04-17	10		178
2020-04-18	13		191
2020-04-19	15		206
2020-04-20	15		221
2020-04-21	18		239
2020-04-22	12		251
2020-04-23	10		261
2020-04-24	8		269
2020-04-25	6		275
2020-04-26	7		281
2020-04-27	5		286
2020-04-28	3		289
2020-04-29	3		292
2020-04-30	3		295
2020-05-01	3		298
2020-05-02	2		300
2020-05-03	2		302
2020-05-04	2		304
2020-05-05	2		306
2020-05-06	2		308
2020-05-07	1		309
2020-05-08	1		310
2020-05-09	1		311
2020-05-10	1		312
2020-05-11	1		313
2020-05-12	1		313
2020-05-13	0		314
2020-05-14	0		314
2020-05-15	0		314
2020-05-16	0		315
2020-05-17	0		315
2020-05-18	0		315
2020-05-19	0		315
2020-05-20	0		315
2020-05-21	0		315
2020-05-22	0		315
2020-05-23	0		315
2020-05-24	0		315
2020-05-25	0		315
2020-05-26	0		315
2020-05-27	0		315
2020-05-28	0		315
2020-05-29	0		315
2020-05-30	0		315
2020-05-31	0		315
2020-06-01	0		315
2020-06-02	0		315
2020-06-03	0		315
2020-06-04	0		315
2020-06-05	0		315
2020-06-06	0		315
2020-06-07	0		315
2020-06-08	0		315
2020-06-09	0		315
2020-06-10	0		315
2020-06-11	0		315
2020-06-12	0		315
2020-06-13	0		315
2020-06-14	0		315
2020-06-15	0		315
2020-06-16	0		315
2020-06-17	0		315
2020-06-18	0		315
2020-06-19	0		315
2020-06-20	0		315
2020-06-21	0		315
2020-06-22	0		315
2020-06-23	0		315
2020-06-24	0		315
2020-06-25	0		315
2020-06-26	0		315
2020-06-27	0		315
2020-06-28	0		315
2020-06-29	0		315
2020-06-30	0		315
2020-07-01	0		315
2020-07-02	0		315
2020-07-03	0		315
2020-07-04	0		315
2020-07-05	0		315
2020-07-06	0		315
2020-07-07	0		315
2020-07-08	0		315
2020-07-09	0		315
2020-07-10	0		315
2020-07-11	0		315
2020-07-12	0		315
2020-07-13	0		315
2020-07-14	0		315
2020-07-15	0		315
2020-07-16	0		315
2020-07-17	0		315
2020-07-18	0		315
2020-07-19	0		315
2020-07-20	0		315
2020-07-21	0		315
2020-07-22	0		315
2020-07-23	0		315
2020-07-24	0		315
2020-07-25	0		315
2020-07-26	0		315
2020-07-27	0		315
2020-07-28	0		315
2020-07-29	0		315
2020-07-30	0		315
2020-07-31	0		315
2020-08-01	0		315
2020-08-02	0		315
2020-08-03	0		315
2020-08-04	0		315
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages