COVID-19 deaths and projections in North Carolina

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

North Carolina: Deaths and predictions during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths
DateDaily deathsTotal deaths
2020-03-252
2
2020-03-261
3
2020-03-271
4
2020-03-281
5
2020-03-292
7
2020-03-300
7
2020-03-315
12
2020-04-012
14
2020-04-027
21
2020-04-036
27
2020-04-0410
37
2020-04-0510
47
2020-04-0612
59
2020-04-0715
74
2020-04-0817
91
2020-04-0919
110
2020-04-1023
133
2020-04-1123
157
2020-04-1226
182
2020-04-1327
209
2020-04-1429
238
2020-04-1530
268
2020-04-1628
296
2020-04-1726
322
2020-04-1825
347
2020-04-1924
372
2020-04-2023
394
2020-04-2119
414
2020-04-2217
431
2020-04-2314
446
2020-04-2412
457
2020-04-259
467
2020-04-268
474
2020-04-276
480
2020-04-285
485
2020-04-293
488
2020-04-302
491
2020-05-012
492
2020-05-021
494
2020-05-031
495
2020-05-041
495
2020-05-050
496
2020-05-060
496
2020-05-070
496
2020-05-080
496
2020-05-090
496
2020-05-100
496
2020-05-110
496
2020-05-120
496
2020-05-130
496
2020-05-140
496
2020-05-150
496
2020-05-160
496
2020-05-170
496
2020-05-180
496
2020-05-190
496
2020-05-200
496
2020-05-210
496
2020-05-220
496
2020-05-230
496
2020-05-240
496
2020-05-250
496
2020-05-260
496
2020-05-270
496
2020-05-280
496
2020-05-290
496
2020-05-300
496
2020-05-310
496
2020-06-010
496
2020-06-020
496
2020-06-030
496
2020-06-040
496
2020-06-050
496
2020-06-060
496
2020-06-070
496
2020-06-080
496
2020-06-090
496
2020-06-100
496
2020-06-110
496
2020-06-120
496
2020-06-130
496
2020-06-140
496
2020-06-150
496
2020-06-160
496
2020-06-170
496
2020-06-180
496
2020-06-190
496
2020-06-200
496
2020-06-210
496
2020-06-220
496
2020-06-230
496
2020-06-240
496
2020-06-250
496
2020-06-260
496
2020-06-270
496
2020-06-280
496
2020-06-290
496
2020-06-300
496
2020-07-010
496
2020-07-020
496
2020-07-030
496
2020-07-040
496
2020-07-050
496
2020-07-060
496
2020-07-070
496
2020-07-080
496
2020-07-090
496
2020-07-100
496
2020-07-110
496
2020-07-120
496
2020-07-130
496
2020-07-140
496
2020-07-150
496
2020-07-160
496
2020-07-170
496
2020-07-180
496
2020-07-190
496
2020-07-200
496
2020-07-210
496
2020-07-220
496
2020-07-230
496
2020-07-240
496
2020-07-250
496
2020-07-260
496
2020-07-270
496
2020-07-280
496
2020-07-290
496
2020-07-300
496
2020-07-310
496
2020-08-010
496
2020-08-020
496
2020-08-030
496
2020-08-040
496
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages

Projections COVID-19 deaths in 50 states

U.S. North Carolina Indiana Wyoming Utah Arizona Montana Kentucky California Kansas Delaware Florida Pennsylvania Iowa Mississippi Illinois Texas Connecticut Georgia Maryland Virginia Idaho Oregon Vermont Maine Oklahoma Tennessee Alabama Arkansas South Carolina Washington Nebraska West Virginia Colorado Massachusetts Missouri Alaska North Dakota Wisconsin Nevada District of Columbia New York Rhode Island Hawaii South Dakota Minnesota New Jersey Michigan New Mexico New Hampshire Louisiana Ohio