COVID-19 deaths and projections in Alabama

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-25	1		1
2020-03-26	0		1
2020-03-27	3		4
2020-03-28	0		4
2020-03-29	6		10
2020-03-30	0		10
2020-03-31	13		23
2020-04-01	4		27
2020-04-02	5		32
2020-04-03	6		38
2020-04-04	19		57
2020-04-05	16		72
2020-04-06	16		89
2020-04-07	18		107
2020-04-08	21		128
2020-04-09	22		150
2020-04-10	23		173
2020-04-11	26		199
2020-04-12	29		228
2020-04-13	30		258
2020-04-14	34		292
2020-04-15	34		326
2020-04-16	36		362
2020-04-17	41		403
2020-04-18	40		442
2020-04-19	41		483
2020-04-20	42		525
2020-04-21	40		565
2020-04-22	43		608
2020-04-23	40		648
2020-04-24	35		683
2020-04-25	41		725
2020-04-26	31		756
2020-04-27	29		784
2020-04-28	25		810
2020-04-29	24		833
2020-04-30	18		852
2020-05-01	17		869
2020-05-02	13		882
2020-05-03	10		892
2020-05-04	8		900
2020-05-05	6		906
2020-05-06	5		911
2020-05-07	3		914
2020-05-08	3		917
2020-05-09	2		919
2020-05-10	1		920
2020-05-11	1		921
2020-05-12	1		921
2020-05-13	0		922
2020-05-14	0		922
2020-05-15	0		922
2020-05-16	0		923
2020-05-17	0		923
2020-05-18	0		923
2020-05-19	0		923
2020-05-20	0		923
2020-05-21	0		923
2020-05-22	0		923
2020-05-23	0		923
2020-05-24	0		923
2020-05-25	0		923
2020-05-26	0		923
2020-05-27	0		923
2020-05-28	0		923
2020-05-29	0		923
2020-05-30	0		923
2020-05-31	0		923
2020-06-01	0		923
2020-06-02	0		923
2020-06-03	0		923
2020-06-04	0		923
2020-06-05	0		923
2020-06-06	0		923
2020-06-07	0		923
2020-06-08	0		923
2020-06-09	0		923
2020-06-10	0		923
2020-06-11	0		923
2020-06-12	0		923
2020-06-13	0		923
2020-06-14	0		923
2020-06-15	0		923
2020-06-16	0		923
2020-06-17	0		923
2020-06-18	0		923
2020-06-19	0		923
2020-06-20	0		923
2020-06-21	0		923
2020-06-22	0		923
2020-06-23	0		923
2020-06-24	0		923
2020-06-25	0		923
2020-06-26	0		923
2020-06-27	0		923
2020-06-28	0		923
2020-06-29	0		923
2020-06-30	0		923
2020-07-01	0		923
2020-07-02	0		923
2020-07-03	0		923
2020-07-04	0		923
2020-07-05	0		923
2020-07-06	0		923
2020-07-07	0		923
2020-07-08	0		923
2020-07-09	0		923
2020-07-10	0		923
2020-07-11	0		923
2020-07-12	0		923
2020-07-13	0		923
2020-07-14	0		923
2020-07-15	0		923
2020-07-16	0		923
2020-07-17	0		923
2020-07-18	0		923
2020-07-19	0		923
2020-07-20	0		923
2020-07-21	0		923
2020-07-22	0		923
2020-07-23	0		923
2020-07-24	0		923
2020-07-25	0		923
2020-07-26	0		923
2020-07-27	0		923
2020-07-28	0		923
2020-07-29	0		923
2020-07-30	0		923
2020-07-31	0		923
2020-08-01	0		923
2020-08-02	0		923
2020-08-03	0		923
2020-08-04	0		923
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages