COVID-19 deaths and projections in Arkansas

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2][3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

Arkansas: Deaths and predictions during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths
DateDaily deathsTotal deaths
2020-03-242
2
2020-03-250
2
2020-03-260
2
2020-03-271
3
2020-03-282
5
2020-03-291
6
2020-03-301
7
2020-03-311
8
2020-04-012
10
2020-04-022
12
2020-04-030
12
2020-04-044
16
2020-04-053
19
2020-04-063
22
2020-04-074
26
2020-04-084
30
2020-04-095
35
2020-04-105
40
2020-04-115
45
2020-04-126
50
2020-04-136
56
2020-04-146
63
2020-04-157
70
2020-04-168
77
2020-04-178
86
2020-04-189
95
2020-04-199
104
2020-04-209
113
2020-04-219
122
2020-04-229
132
2020-04-2310
142
2020-04-2410
151
2020-04-2510
161
2020-04-2610
171
2020-04-2710
182
2020-04-2810
192
2020-04-2910
201
2020-04-3010
211
2020-05-019
219
2020-05-028
227
2020-05-037
235
2020-05-047
242
2020-05-057
249
2020-05-066
255
2020-05-075
260
2020-05-085
265
2020-05-094
270
2020-05-104
274
2020-05-114
277
2020-05-123
280
2020-05-133
283
2020-05-142
286
2020-05-152
288
2020-05-162
289
2020-05-171
291
2020-05-181
292
2020-05-191
293
2020-05-201
294
2020-05-211
295
2020-05-221
295
2020-05-230
296
2020-05-240
296
2020-05-250
296
2020-05-260
297
2020-05-270
297
2020-05-280
297
2020-05-290
297
2020-05-300
297
2020-05-310
297
2020-06-010
297
2020-06-020
297
2020-06-030
297
2020-06-040
297
2020-06-050
297
2020-06-060
297
2020-06-070
297
2020-06-080
297
2020-06-090
297
2020-06-100
297
2020-06-110
297
2020-06-120
297
2020-06-130
297
2020-06-140
297
2020-06-150
297
2020-06-160
297
2020-06-170
297
2020-06-180
297
2020-06-190
297
2020-06-200
297
2020-06-210
297
2020-06-220
297
2020-06-230
297
2020-06-240
297
2020-06-250
297
2020-06-260
297
2020-06-270
297
2020-06-280
297
2020-06-290
297
2020-06-300
297
2020-07-010
297
2020-07-020
297
2020-07-030
297
2020-07-040
297
2020-07-050
297
2020-07-060
297
2020-07-070
297
2020-07-080
297
2020-07-090
297
2020-07-100
297
2020-07-110
297
2020-07-120
297
2020-07-130
297
2020-07-140
297
2020-07-150
297
2020-07-160
297
2020-07-170
297
2020-07-180
297
2020-07-190
297
2020-07-200
297
2020-07-210
297
2020-07-220
297
2020-07-230
297
2020-07-240
297
2020-07-250
297
2020-07-260
297
2020-07-270
297
2020-07-280
297
2020-07-290
297
2020-07-300
297
2020-07-310
297
2020-08-010
297
2020-08-020
297
2020-08-030
297
2020-08-040
297
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages