COVID-19 deaths and projections in Missouri

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-19	1		1
2020-03-20	1		2
2020-03-21	1		3
2020-03-22	0		3
2020-03-23	1		4
2020-03-24	3		7
2020-03-25	1		8
2020-03-26	1		9
2020-03-27	0		9
2020-03-28	1		10
2020-03-29	3		13
2020-03-30	0		13
2020-03-31	2		15
2020-04-01	3		18
2020-04-02	4		22
2020-04-03	3		25
2020-04-04	4		29
2020-04-05	4		34
2020-04-06	5		38
2020-04-07	5		44
2020-04-08	6		49
2020-04-09	6		56
2020-04-10	7		62
2020-04-11	8		70
2020-04-12	8		78
2020-04-13	9		86
2020-04-14	8		95
2020-04-15	10		105
2020-04-16	9		114
2020-04-17	10		124
2020-04-18	12		136
2020-04-19	11		147
2020-04-20	12		159
2020-04-21	11		170
2020-04-22	11		181
2020-04-23	11		192
2020-04-24	11		203
2020-04-25	10		214
2020-04-26	10		224
2020-04-27	9		233
2020-04-28	9		242
2020-04-29	8		250
2020-04-30	7		257
2020-05-01	8		265
2020-05-02	7		272
2020-05-03	7		279
2020-05-04	6		285
2020-05-05	6		291
2020-05-06	6		297
2020-05-07	6		303
2020-05-08	5		308
2020-05-09	4		312
2020-05-10	4		317
2020-05-11	4		321
2020-05-12	4		324
2020-05-13	3		328
2020-05-14	3		331
2020-05-15	3		334
2020-05-16	3		336
2020-05-17	2		338
2020-05-18	2		341
2020-05-19	2		342
2020-05-20	2		344
2020-05-21	1		345
2020-05-22	1		347
2020-05-23	1		348
2020-05-24	1		348
2020-05-25	1		349
2020-05-26	1		350
2020-05-27	1		350
2020-05-28	0		351
2020-05-29	0		351
2020-05-30	0		351
2020-05-31	0		352
2020-06-01	0		352
2020-06-02	0		352
2020-06-03	0		352
2020-06-04	0		352
2020-06-05	0		352
2020-06-06	0		352
2020-06-07	0		352
2020-06-08	0		352
2020-06-09	0		352
2020-06-10	0		352
2020-06-11	0		352
2020-06-12	0		352
2020-06-13	0		352
2020-06-14	0		352
2020-06-15	0		352
2020-06-16	0		352
2020-06-17	0		352
2020-06-18	0		352
2020-06-19	0		352
2020-06-20	0		352
2020-06-21	0		352
2020-06-22	0		352
2020-06-23	0		352
2020-06-24	0		352
2020-06-25	0		352
2020-06-26	0		352
2020-06-27	0		352
2020-06-28	0		352
2020-06-29	0		352
2020-06-30	0		352
2020-07-01	0		352
2020-07-02	0		352
2020-07-03	0		352
2020-07-04	0		352
2020-07-05	0		352
2020-07-06	0		352
2020-07-07	0		352
2020-07-08	0		352
2020-07-09	0		352
2020-07-10	0		352
2020-07-11	0		352
2020-07-12	0		352
2020-07-13	0		352
2020-07-14	0		352
2020-07-15	0		352
2020-07-16	0		352
2020-07-17	0		352
2020-07-18	0		352
2020-07-19	0		352
2020-07-20	0		352
2020-07-21	0		352
2020-07-22	0		352
2020-07-23	0		352
2020-07-24	0		352
2020-07-25	0		352
2020-07-26	0		352
2020-07-27	0		352
2020-07-28	0		352
2020-07-29	0		352
2020-07-30	0		352
2020-07-31	0		352
2020-08-01	0		352
2020-08-02	0		352
2020-08-03	0		352
2020-08-04	0		352
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages