COVID-19 deaths and projections in Massachusetts

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-20	1		1
2020-03-21	0		1
2020-03-22	4		5
2020-03-23	4		9
2020-03-24	2		11
2020-03-25	4		15
2020-03-26	10		25
2020-03-27	10		35
2020-03-28	9		44
2020-03-29	4		48
2020-03-30	8		56
2020-03-31	33		89
2020-04-01	33		122
2020-04-02	32		154
2020-04-03	38		192
2020-04-04	80		272
2020-04-05	78		350
2020-04-06	90		440
2020-04-07	114		554
2020-04-08	138		692
2020-04-09	156		847
2020-04-10	179		1,026
2020-04-11	197		1,224
2020-04-12	227		1,451
2020-04-13	233		1,684
2020-04-14	296		1,980
2020-04-15	275		2,255
2020-04-16	322		2,577
2020-04-17	327		2,904
2020-04-18	373		3,277
2020-04-19	339		3,616
2020-04-20	345		3,961
2020-04-21	348		4,309
2020-04-22	347		4,656
2020-04-23	333		4,989
2020-04-24	312		5,301
2020-04-25	317		5,618
2020-04-26	294		5,912
2020-04-27	253		6,164
2020-04-28	228		6,392
2020-04-29	188		6,580
2020-04-30	185		6,765
2020-05-01	177		6,941
2020-05-02	155		7,096
2020-05-03	147		7,242
2020-05-04	134		7,377
2020-05-05	118		7,495
2020-05-06	108		7,603
2020-05-07	102		7,705
2020-05-08	86		7,791
2020-05-09	74		7,865
2020-05-10	63		7,927
2020-05-11	58		7,985
2020-05-12	48		8,033
2020-05-13	40		8,072
2020-05-14	36		8,109
2020-05-15	29		8,137
2020-05-16	25		8,162
2020-05-17	20		8,182
2020-05-18	15		8,197
2020-05-19	14		8,211
2020-05-20	10		8,221
2020-05-21	8		8,229
2020-05-22	6		8,235
2020-05-23	5		8,240
2020-05-24	4		8,243
2020-05-25	3		8,246
2020-05-26	2		8,248
2020-05-27	2		8,250
2020-05-28	1		8,251
2020-05-29	1		8,252
2020-05-30	1		8,253
2020-05-31	0		8,253
2020-06-01	0		8,254
2020-06-02	0		8,254
2020-06-03	0		8,254
2020-06-04	0		8,254
2020-06-05	0		8,254
2020-06-06	0		8,254
2020-06-07	0		8,254
2020-06-08	0		8,254
2020-06-09	0		8,254
2020-06-10	0		8,254
2020-06-11	0		8,254
2020-06-12	0		8,254
2020-06-13	0		8,254
2020-06-14	0		8,254
2020-06-15	0		8,254
2020-06-16	0		8,254
2020-06-17	0		8,254
2020-06-18	0		8,254
2020-06-19	0		8,254
2020-06-20	0		8,254
2020-06-21	0		8,254
2020-06-22	0		8,254
2020-06-23	0		8,254
2020-06-24	0		8,254
2020-06-25	0		8,254
2020-06-26	0		8,254
2020-06-27	0		8,254
2020-06-28	0		8,254
2020-06-29	0		8,254
2020-06-30	0		8,254
2020-07-01	0		8,254
2020-07-02	0		8,254
2020-07-03	0		8,254
2020-07-04	0		8,254
2020-07-05	0		8,254
2020-07-06	0		8,254
2020-07-07	0		8,254
2020-07-08	0		8,254
2020-07-09	0		8,254
2020-07-10	0		8,254
2020-07-11	0		8,254
2020-07-12	0		8,254
2020-07-13	0		8,254
2020-07-14	0		8,254
2020-07-15	0		8,254
2020-07-16	0		8,254
2020-07-17	0		8,254
2020-07-18	0		8,254
2020-07-19	0		8,254
2020-07-20	0		8,254
2020-07-21	0		8,254
2020-07-22	0		8,254
2020-07-23	0		8,254
2020-07-24	0		8,254
2020-07-25	0		8,254
2020-07-26	0		8,254
2020-07-27	0		8,254
2020-07-28	0		8,254
2020-07-29	0		8,254
2020-07-30	0		8,254
2020-07-31	0		8,254
2020-08-01	0		8,254
2020-08-02	0		8,254
2020-08-03	0		8,254
2020-08-04	0		8,254
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages