COVID-19 deaths and projections in Florida

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-08	2		2
2020-03-09	0		2
2020-03-10	0		2
2020-03-11	0		2
2020-03-12	0		2
2020-03-13	0		2
2020-03-14	1		3
2020-03-15	1		4
2020-03-16	1		5
2020-03-17	1		6
2020-03-18	1		7
2020-03-19	2		9
2020-03-20	1		10
2020-03-21	3		13
2020-03-22	0		13
2020-03-23	5		18
2020-03-24	0		18
2020-03-25	5		23
2020-03-26	6		29
2020-03-27	6		35
2020-03-28	19		54
2020-03-29	2		56
2020-03-30	7		63
2020-03-31	22		85
2020-04-01	2		87
2020-04-02	77		164
2020-04-03	6		170
2020-04-04	45		215
2020-04-05	45		259
2020-04-06	54		313
2020-04-07	63		376
2020-04-08	73		449
2020-04-09	83		532
2020-04-10	94		626
2020-04-11	111		737
2020-04-12	125		862
2020-04-13	129		990
2020-04-14	176		1,166
2020-04-15	170		1,336
2020-04-16	169		1,505
2020-04-17	222		1,727
2020-04-18	218		1,945
2020-04-19	216		2,161
2020-04-20	229		2,390
2020-04-21	242		2,633
2020-04-22	241		2,874
2020-04-23	242		3,115
2020-04-24	240		3,355
2020-04-25	232		3,587
2020-04-26	222		3,809
2020-04-27	204		4,013
2020-04-28	184		4,197
2020-04-29	157		4,354
2020-04-30	158		4,512
2020-05-01	151		4,664
2020-05-02	148		4,811
2020-05-03	145		4,956
2020-05-04	139		5,095
2020-05-05	134		5,229
2020-05-06	127		5,356
2020-05-07	124		5,480
2020-05-08	118		5,598
2020-05-09	112		5,710
2020-05-10	104		5,813
2020-05-11	98		5,911
2020-05-12	89		6,000
2020-05-13	83		6,083
2020-05-14	78		6,161
2020-05-15	74		6,235
2020-05-16	64		6,300
2020-05-17	58		6,358
2020-05-18	54		6,411
2020-05-19	47		6,458
2020-05-20	43		6,501
2020-05-21	36		6,538
2020-05-22	33		6,571
2020-05-23	30		6,601
2020-05-24	26		6,627
2020-05-25	22		6,649
2020-05-26	19		6,668
2020-05-27	17		6,685
2020-05-28	14		6,699
2020-05-29	12		6,711
2020-05-30	11		6,722
2020-05-31	9		6,730
2020-06-01	7		6,738
2020-06-02	6		6,744
2020-06-03	5		6,749
2020-06-04	4		6,753
2020-06-05	3		6,756
2020-06-06	3		6,759
2020-06-07	2		6,761
2020-06-08	2		6,763
2020-06-09	1		6,765
2020-06-10	1		6,766
2020-06-11	1		6,767
2020-06-12	1		6,768
2020-06-13	1		6,768
2020-06-14	0		6,769
2020-06-15	0		6,769
2020-06-16	0		6,769
2020-06-17	0		6,770
2020-06-18	0		6,770
2020-06-19	0		6,770
2020-06-20	0		6,770
2020-06-21	0		6,770
2020-06-22	0		6,770
2020-06-23	0		6,770
2020-06-24	0		6,770
2020-06-25	0		6,770
2020-06-26	0		6,770
2020-06-27	0		6,770
2020-06-28	0		6,770
2020-06-29	0		6,770
2020-06-30	0		6,770
2020-07-01	0		6,770
2020-07-02	0		6,770
2020-07-03	0		6,770
2020-07-04	0		6,770
2020-07-05	0		6,770
2020-07-06	0		6,770
2020-07-07	0		6,770
2020-07-08	0		6,770
2020-07-09	0		6,770
2020-07-10	0		6,770
2020-07-11	0		6,770
2020-07-12	0		6,770
2020-07-13	0		6,770
2020-07-14	0		6,770
2020-07-15	0		6,770
2020-07-16	0		6,770
2020-07-17	0		6,770
2020-07-18	0		6,770
2020-07-19	0		6,770
2020-07-20	0		6,770
2020-07-21	0		6,770
2020-07-22	0		6,770
2020-07-23	0		6,770
2020-07-24	0		6,770
2020-07-25	0		6,770
2020-07-26	0		6,770
2020-07-27	0		6,770
2020-07-28	0		6,770
2020-07-29	0		6,770
2020-07-30	0		6,770
2020-07-31	0		6,770
2020-08-01	0		6,770
2020-08-02	0		6,770
2020-08-03	0		6,770
2020-08-04	0		6,770
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages