COVID-19 deaths and projections in Indiana

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-16	1		1
2020-03-17	1		2
2020-03-18	0		2
2020-03-19	0		2
2020-03-20	0		2
2020-03-21	2		4
2020-03-22	2		6
2020-03-23	1		7
2020-03-24	5		12
2020-03-25	2		14
2020-03-26	3		17
2020-03-27	8		25
2020-03-28	6		31
2020-03-29	1		32
2020-03-30	3		35
2020-03-31	14		49
2020-04-01	16		65
2020-04-02	13		78
2020-04-03	24		102
2020-04-04	25		127
2020-04-05	26		153
2020-04-06	32		185
2020-04-07	38		224
2020-04-08	41		265
2020-04-09	51		316
2020-04-10	58		374
2020-04-11	63		437
2020-04-12	65		503
2020-04-13	67		570
2020-04-14	78		648
2020-04-15	80		728
2020-04-16	97		825
2020-04-17	96		921
2020-04-18	89		1,011
2020-04-19	89		1,099
2020-04-20	83		1,182
2020-04-21	84		1,266
2020-04-22	84		1,350
2020-04-23	77		1,427
2020-04-24	71		1,498
2020-04-25	61		1,559
2020-04-26	49		1,609
2020-04-27	34		1,643
2020-04-28	21		1,664
2020-04-29	4		1,668
2020-04-30	3		1,672
2020-05-01	3		1,674
2020-05-02	2		1,676
2020-05-03	2		1,678
2020-05-04	1		1,679
2020-05-05	1		1,680
2020-05-06	1		1,680
2020-05-07	0		1,681
2020-05-08	0		1,681
2020-05-09	0		1,681
2020-05-10	0		1,681
2020-05-11	0		1,681
2020-05-12	0		1,681
2020-05-13	0		1,681
2020-05-14	0		1,681
2020-05-15	0		1,681
2020-05-16	0		1,681
2020-05-17	0		1,681
2020-05-18	0		1,681
2020-05-19	0		1,681
2020-05-20	0		1,681
2020-05-21	0		1,681
2020-05-22	0		1,681
2020-05-23	0		1,681
2020-05-24	0		1,681
2020-05-25	0		1,681
2020-05-26	0		1,681
2020-05-27	0		1,681
2020-05-28	0		1,681
2020-05-29	0		1,681
2020-05-30	0		1,681
2020-05-31	0		1,681
2020-06-01	0		1,681
2020-06-02	0		1,681
2020-06-03	0		1,681
2020-06-04	0		1,681
2020-06-05	0		1,681
2020-06-06	0		1,681
2020-06-07	0		1,681
2020-06-08	0		1,681
2020-06-09	0		1,681
2020-06-10	0		1,681
2020-06-11	0		1,681
2020-06-12	0		1,681
2020-06-13	0		1,681
2020-06-14	0		1,681
2020-06-15	0		1,681
2020-06-16	0		1,681
2020-06-17	0		1,681
2020-06-18	0		1,681
2020-06-19	0		1,681
2020-06-20	0		1,681
2020-06-21	0		1,681
2020-06-22	0		1,681
2020-06-23	0		1,681
2020-06-24	0		1,681
2020-06-25	0		1,681
2020-06-26	0		1,681
2020-06-27	0		1,681
2020-06-28	0		1,681
2020-06-29	0		1,681
2020-06-30	0		1,681
2020-07-01	0		1,681
2020-07-02	0		1,681
2020-07-03	0		1,681
2020-07-04	0		1,681
2020-07-05	0		1,681
2020-07-06	0		1,681
2020-07-07	0		1,681
2020-07-08	0		1,681
2020-07-09	0		1,681
2020-07-10	0		1,681
2020-07-11	0		1,681
2020-07-12	0		1,681
2020-07-13	0		1,681
2020-07-14	0		1,681
2020-07-15	0		1,681
2020-07-16	0		1,681
2020-07-17	0		1,681
2020-07-18	0		1,681
2020-07-19	0		1,681
2020-07-20	0		1,681
2020-07-21	0		1,681
2020-07-22	0		1,681
2020-07-23	0		1,681
2020-07-24	0		1,681
2020-07-25	0		1,681
2020-07-26	0		1,681
2020-07-27	0		1,681
2020-07-28	0		1,681
2020-07-29	0		1,681
2020-07-30	0		1,681
2020-07-31	0		1,681
2020-08-01	0		1,681
2020-08-02	0		1,681
2020-08-03	0		1,681
2020-08-04	0		1,681
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages