COVID-19 deaths and projections in Louisiana

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-14	1		1
2020-03-15	1		2
2020-03-16	1		3
2020-03-17	1		4
2020-03-18	0		4
2020-03-19	6		10
2020-03-20	4		14
2020-03-21	2		16
2020-03-22	4		20
2020-03-23	15		35
2020-03-24	11		46
2020-03-25	19		65
2020-03-26	18		83
2020-03-27	36		119
2020-03-28	18		137
2020-03-29	14		151
2020-03-30	34		185
2020-03-31	54		239
2020-04-01	34		273
2020-04-02	37		310
2020-04-03	60		370
2020-04-04	44		414
2020-04-05	42		456
2020-04-06	43		499
2020-04-07	40		538
2020-04-08	34		572
2020-04-09	32		604
2020-04-10	28		632
2020-04-11	24		657
2020-04-12	20		676
2020-04-13	16		692
2020-04-14	13		706
2020-04-15	11		716
2020-04-16	8		725
2020-04-17	6		731
2020-04-18	5		736
2020-04-19	4		739
2020-04-20	2		741
2020-04-21	2		743
2020-04-22	1		744
2020-04-23	1		745
2020-04-24	0		746
2020-04-25	0		746
2020-04-26	0		746
2020-04-27	0		746
2020-04-28	0		746
2020-04-29	0		746
2020-04-30	0		746
2020-05-01	0		746
2020-05-02	0		746
2020-05-03	0		746
2020-05-04	0		746
2020-05-05	0		746
2020-05-06	0		746
2020-05-07	0		746
2020-05-08	0		746
2020-05-09	0		746
2020-05-10	0		746
2020-05-11	0		746
2020-05-12	0		746
2020-05-13	0		746
2020-05-14	0		746
2020-05-15	0		746
2020-05-16	0		746
2020-05-17	0		746
2020-05-18	0		746
2020-05-19	0		746
2020-05-20	0		746
2020-05-21	0		746
2020-05-22	0		746
2020-05-23	0		746
2020-05-24	0		746
2020-05-25	0		746
2020-05-26	0		746
2020-05-27	0		746
2020-05-28	0		746
2020-05-29	0		746
2020-05-30	0		746
2020-05-31	0		746
2020-06-01	0		746
2020-06-02	0		746
2020-06-03	0		746
2020-06-04	0		746
2020-06-05	0		746
2020-06-06	0		746
2020-06-07	0		746
2020-06-08	0		746
2020-06-09	0		746
2020-06-10	0		746
2020-06-11	0		746
2020-06-12	0		746
2020-06-13	0		746
2020-06-14	0		746
2020-06-15	0		746
2020-06-16	0		746
2020-06-17	0		746
2020-06-18	0		746
2020-06-19	0		746
2020-06-20	0		746
2020-06-21	0		746
2020-06-22	0		746
2020-06-23	0		746
2020-06-24	0		746
2020-06-25	0		746
2020-06-26	0		746
2020-06-27	0		746
2020-06-28	0		746
2020-06-29	0		746
2020-06-30	0		746
2020-07-01	0		746
2020-07-02	0		746
2020-07-03	0		746
2020-07-04	0		746
2020-07-05	0		746
2020-07-06	0		746
2020-07-07	0		746
2020-07-08	0		746
2020-07-09	0		746
2020-07-10	0		746
2020-07-11	0		746
2020-07-12	0		746
2020-07-13	0		746
2020-07-14	0		746
2020-07-15	0		746
2020-07-16	0		746
2020-07-17	0		746
2020-07-18	0		746
2020-07-19	0		746
2020-07-20	0		746
2020-07-21	0		746
2020-07-22	0		746
2020-07-23	0		746
2020-07-24	0		746
2020-07-25	0		746
2020-07-26	0		746
2020-07-27	0		746
2020-07-28	0		746
2020-07-29	0		746
2020-07-30	0		746
2020-07-31	0		746
2020-08-01	0		746
2020-08-02	0		746
2020-08-03	0		746
2020-08-04	0		746
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages