COVID-19 deaths and projections in Pennsylvania

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-19	1		1
2020-03-20	0		1
2020-03-21	1		2
2020-03-22	2		4
2020-03-23	2		6
2020-03-24	2		8
2020-03-25	7		15
2020-03-26	3		18
2020-03-27	4		22
2020-03-28	12		34
2020-03-29	7		41
2020-03-30	9		50
2020-03-31	13		63
2020-04-01	11		74
2020-04-02	16		90
2020-04-03	12		102
2020-04-04	23		125
2020-04-05	22		147
2020-04-06	23		170
2020-04-07	25		195
2020-04-08	27		222
2020-04-09	28		250
2020-04-10	29		279
2020-04-11	31		310
2020-04-12	31		341
2020-04-13	31		372
2020-04-14	28		400
2020-04-15	32		432
2020-04-16	29		462
2020-04-17	28		490
2020-04-18	28		518
2020-04-19	26		544
2020-04-20	25		570
2020-04-21	24		594
2020-04-22	22		616
2020-04-23	21		638
2020-04-24	20		658
2020-04-25	18		675
2020-04-26	16		691
2020-04-27	15		707
2020-04-28	13		720
2020-04-29	11		731
2020-04-30	9		741
2020-05-01	8		749
2020-05-02	7		756
2020-05-03	6		762
2020-05-04	5		766
2020-05-05	4		770
2020-05-06	3		773
2020-05-07	2		775
2020-05-08	2		777
2020-05-09	1		778
2020-05-10	1		779
2020-05-11	1		780
2020-05-12	1		780
2020-05-13	0		781
2020-05-14	0		781
2020-05-15	0		781
2020-05-16	0		781
2020-05-17	0		782
2020-05-18	0		782
2020-05-19	0		782
2020-05-20	0		782
2020-05-21	0		782
2020-05-22	0		782
2020-05-23	0		782
2020-05-24	0		782
2020-05-25	0		782
2020-05-26	0		782
2020-05-27	0		782
2020-05-28	0		782
2020-05-29	0		782
2020-05-30	0		782
2020-05-31	0		782
2020-06-01	0		782
2020-06-02	0		782
2020-06-03	0		782
2020-06-04	0		782
2020-06-05	0		782
2020-06-06	0		782
2020-06-07	0		782
2020-06-08	0		782
2020-06-09	0		782
2020-06-10	0		782
2020-06-11	0		782
2020-06-12	0		782
2020-06-13	0		782
2020-06-14	0		782
2020-06-15	0		782
2020-06-16	0		782
2020-06-17	0		782
2020-06-18	0		782
2020-06-19	0		782
2020-06-20	0		782
2020-06-21	0		782
2020-06-22	0		782
2020-06-23	0		782
2020-06-24	0		782
2020-06-25	0		782
2020-06-26	0		782
2020-06-27	0		782
2020-06-28	0		782
2020-06-29	0		782
2020-06-30	0		782
2020-07-01	0		782
2020-07-02	0		782
2020-07-03	0		782
2020-07-04	0		782
2020-07-05	0		782
2020-07-06	0		782
2020-07-07	0		782
2020-07-08	0		782
2020-07-09	0		782
2020-07-10	0		782
2020-07-11	0		782
2020-07-12	0		782
2020-07-13	0		782
2020-07-14	0		782
2020-07-15	0		782
2020-07-16	0		782
2020-07-17	0		782
2020-07-18	0		782
2020-07-19	0		782
2020-07-20	0		782
2020-07-21	0		782
2020-07-22	0		782
2020-07-23	0		782
2020-07-24	0		782
2020-07-25	0		782
2020-07-26	0		782
2020-07-27	0		782
2020-07-28	0		782
2020-07-29	0		782
2020-07-30	0		782
2020-07-31	0		782
2020-08-01	0		782
2020-08-02	0		782
2020-08-03	0		782
2020-08-04	0		782
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages