COVID-19 deaths and projections in North Dakota

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-27	1		1
2020-03-28	0		1
2020-03-29	0		1
2020-03-30	1		2
2020-03-31	1		3
2020-04-01	0		3
2020-04-02	0		3
2020-04-03	0		3
2020-04-04	17		20
2020-04-05	9		29
2020-04-06	12		41
2020-04-07	11		51
2020-04-08	15		67
2020-04-09	13		80
2020-04-10	12		91
2020-04-11	14		105
2020-04-12	16		121
2020-04-13	13		134
2020-04-14	17		151
2020-04-15	17		168
2020-04-16	17		185
2020-04-17	19		204
2020-04-18	18		222
2020-04-19	19		241
2020-04-20	22		263
2020-04-21	20		283
2020-04-22	20		303
2020-04-23	16		319
2020-04-24	15		334
2020-04-25	14		347
2020-04-26	12		360
2020-04-27	12		372
2020-04-28	13		385
2020-04-29	13		397
2020-04-30	13		410
2020-05-01	13		423
2020-05-02	12		435
2020-05-03	13		448
2020-05-04	13		461
2020-05-05	12		473
2020-05-06	13		486
2020-05-07	12		498
2020-05-08	12		509
2020-05-09	11		521
2020-05-10	11		532
2020-05-11	11		543
2020-05-12	10		553
2020-05-13	10		563
2020-05-14	10		573
2020-05-15	9		582
2020-05-16	8		590
2020-05-17	8		598
2020-05-18	8		606
2020-05-19	7		612
2020-05-20	7		619
2020-05-21	6		625
2020-05-22	6		631
2020-05-23	5		636
2020-05-24	5		641
2020-05-25	4		645
2020-05-26	4		649
2020-05-27	4		653
2020-05-28	3		656
2020-05-29	3		659
2020-05-30	3		661
2020-05-31	2		664
2020-06-01	2		666
2020-06-02	2		667
2020-06-03	2		669
2020-06-04	1		670
2020-06-05	1		671
2020-06-06	1		672
2020-06-07	1		673
2020-06-08	1		674
2020-06-09	1		675
2020-06-10	1		675
2020-06-11	0		676
2020-06-12	0		676
2020-06-13	0		676
2020-06-14	0		677
2020-06-15	0		677
2020-06-16	0		677
2020-06-17	0		677
2020-06-18	0		677
2020-06-19	0		677
2020-06-20	0		677
2020-06-21	0		677
2020-06-22	0		677
2020-06-23	0		677
2020-06-24	0		677
2020-06-25	0		677
2020-06-26	0		677
2020-06-27	0		677
2020-06-28	0		677
2020-06-29	0		677
2020-06-30	0		677
2020-07-01	0		677
2020-07-02	0		677
2020-07-03	0		677
2020-07-04	0		677
2020-07-05	0		677
2020-07-06	0		677
2020-07-07	0		677
2020-07-08	0		677
2020-07-09	0		677
2020-07-10	0		677
2020-07-11	0		677
2020-07-12	0		677
2020-07-13	0		677
2020-07-14	0		677
2020-07-15	0		677
2020-07-16	0		677
2020-07-17	0		677
2020-07-18	0		677
2020-07-19	0		677
2020-07-20	0		677
2020-07-21	0		677
2020-07-22	0		677
2020-07-23	0		677
2020-07-24	0		677
2020-07-25	0		677
2020-07-26	0		677
2020-07-27	0		677
2020-07-28	0		677
2020-07-29	0		677
2020-07-30	0		677
2020-07-31	0		677
2020-08-01	0		677
2020-08-02	0		677
2020-08-03	0		677
2020-08-04	0		677
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages