COVID-19 deaths and projections in Connecticut

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-19	2		2
2020-03-20	1		3
2020-03-21	1		4
2020-03-22	4		8
2020-03-23	2		10
2020-03-24	2		12
2020-03-25	7		19
2020-03-26	2		21
2020-03-27	6		27
2020-03-28	6		33
2020-03-29	1		34
2020-03-30	2		36
2020-03-31	33		69
2020-04-01	16		85
2020-04-02	27		112
2020-04-03	19		131
2020-04-04	48		179
2020-04-05	41		219
2020-04-06	50		269
2020-04-07	58		327
2020-04-08	65		393
2020-04-09	74		467
2020-04-10	89		556
2020-04-11	87		643
2020-04-12	110		753
2020-04-13	113		866
2020-04-14	142		1,008
2020-04-15	135		1,142
2020-04-16	159		1,302
2020-04-17	159		1,460
2020-04-18	179		1,640
2020-04-19	166		1,805
2020-04-20	187		1,992
2020-04-21	187		2,179
2020-04-22	192		2,371
2020-04-23	190		2,561
2020-04-24	190		2,751
2020-04-25	184		2,935
2020-04-26	179		3,114
2020-04-27	165		3,279
2020-04-28	164		3,442
2020-04-29	151		3,593
2020-04-30	148		3,741
2020-05-01	142		3,884
2020-05-02	142		4,026
2020-05-03	134		4,160
2020-05-04	128		4,288
2020-05-05	117		4,406
2020-05-06	107		4,513
2020-05-07	110		4,623
2020-05-08	94		4,716
2020-05-09	89		4,806
2020-05-10	79		4,885
2020-05-11	79		4,964
2020-05-12	69		5,033
2020-05-13	62		5,095
2020-05-14	51		5,146
2020-05-15	46		5,193
2020-05-16	43		5,236
2020-05-17	35		5,271
2020-05-18	33		5,304
2020-05-19	29		5,333
2020-05-20	24		5,357
2020-05-21	20		5,377
2020-05-22	17		5,394
2020-05-23	15		5,409
2020-05-24	13		5,422
2020-05-25	11		5,433
2020-05-26	8		5,441
2020-05-27	7		5,448
2020-05-28	6		5,454
2020-05-29	4		5,458
2020-05-30	4		5,461
2020-05-31	3		5,464
2020-06-01	2		5,466
2020-06-02	2		5,468
2020-06-03	1		5,470
2020-06-04	1		5,471
2020-06-05	1		5,471
2020-06-06	1		5,472
2020-06-07	0		5,473
2020-06-08	0		5,473
2020-06-09	0		5,473
2020-06-10	0		5,473
2020-06-11	0		5,474
2020-06-12	0		5,474
2020-06-13	0		5,474
2020-06-14	0		5,474
2020-06-15	0		5,474
2020-06-16	0		5,474
2020-06-17	0		5,474
2020-06-18	0		5,474
2020-06-19	0		5,474
2020-06-20	0		5,474
2020-06-21	0		5,474
2020-06-22	0		5,474
2020-06-23	0		5,474
2020-06-24	0		5,474
2020-06-25	0		5,474
2020-06-26	0		5,474
2020-06-27	0		5,474
2020-06-28	0		5,474
2020-06-29	0		5,474
2020-06-30	0		5,474
2020-07-01	0		5,474
2020-07-02	0		5,474
2020-07-03	0		5,474
2020-07-04	0		5,474
2020-07-05	0		5,474
2020-07-06	0		5,474
2020-07-07	0		5,474
2020-07-08	0		5,474
2020-07-09	0		5,474
2020-07-10	0		5,474
2020-07-11	0		5,474
2020-07-12	0		5,474
2020-07-13	0		5,474
2020-07-14	0		5,474
2020-07-15	0		5,474
2020-07-16	0		5,474
2020-07-17	0		5,474
2020-07-18	0		5,474
2020-07-19	0		5,474
2020-07-20	0		5,474
2020-07-21	0		5,474
2020-07-22	0		5,474
2020-07-23	0		5,474
2020-07-24	0		5,474
2020-07-25	0		5,474
2020-07-26	0		5,474
2020-07-27	0		5,474
2020-07-28	0		5,474
2020-07-29	0		5,474
2020-07-30	0		5,474
2020-07-31	0		5,474
2020-08-01	0		5,474
2020-08-02	0		5,474
2020-08-03	0		5,474
2020-08-04	0		5,474
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages