COVID-19 deaths and projections in Michigan

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

Michigan: Deaths and predictions during the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths
DateDaily deathsTotal deaths
2020-03-193
3
2020-03-200
3
2020-03-212
5
2020-03-224
9
2020-03-236
15
2020-03-249
24
2020-03-2519
43
2020-03-2618
61
2020-03-2731
92
2020-03-2819
111
2020-03-2921
132
2020-03-3052
184
2020-03-3175
259
2020-04-0176
335
2020-04-0282
417
2020-04-0362
479
2020-04-04165
644
2020-04-05143
787
2020-04-06155
942
2020-04-07167
1,110
2020-04-08188
1,298
2020-04-09190
1,488
2020-04-10184
1,672
2020-04-11181
1,853
2020-04-12177
2,031
2020-04-13159
2,190
2020-04-14148
2,337
2020-04-15121
2,458
2020-04-16109
2,567
2020-04-1796
2,662
2020-04-1882
2,744
2020-04-1960
2,804
2020-04-2048
2,851
2020-04-2137
2,889
2020-04-2226
2,915
2020-04-2319
2,934
2020-04-2413
2,947
2020-04-258
2,955
2020-04-265
2,960
2020-04-273
2,962
2020-04-281
2,963
2020-04-290
2,963
2020-04-300
2,963
2020-05-010
2,963
2020-05-020
2,963
2020-05-030
2,963
2020-05-040
2,963
2020-05-050
2,963
2020-05-060
2,963
2020-05-070
2,963
2020-05-080
2,963
2020-05-090
2,963
2020-05-100
2,963
2020-05-110
2,963
2020-05-120
2,963
2020-05-130
2,963
2020-05-140
2,963
2020-05-150
2,963
2020-05-160
2,963
2020-05-170
2,963
2020-05-180
2,963
2020-05-190
2,963
2020-05-200
2,963
2020-05-210
2,963
2020-05-220
2,963
2020-05-230
2,963
2020-05-240
2,963
2020-05-250
2,963
2020-05-260
2,963
2020-05-270
2,963
2020-05-280
2,963
2020-05-290
2,963
2020-05-300
2,963
2020-05-310
2,963
2020-06-010
2,963
2020-06-020
2,963
2020-06-030
2,963
2020-06-040
2,963
2020-06-050
2,963
2020-06-060
2,963
2020-06-070
2,963
2020-06-080
2,963
2020-06-090
2,963
2020-06-100
2,963
2020-06-110
2,963
2020-06-120
2,963
2020-06-130
2,963
2020-06-140
2,963
2020-06-150
2,963
2020-06-160
2,963
2020-06-170
2,963
2020-06-180
2,963
2020-06-190
2,963
2020-06-200
2,963
2020-06-210
2,963
2020-06-220
2,963
2020-06-230
2,963
2020-06-240
2,963
2020-06-250
2,963
2020-06-260
2,963
2020-06-270
2,963
2020-06-280
2,963
2020-06-290
2,963
2020-06-300
2,963
2020-07-010
2,963
2020-07-020
2,963
2020-07-030
2,963
2020-07-040
2,963
2020-07-050
2,963
2020-07-060
2,963
2020-07-070
2,963
2020-07-080
2,963
2020-07-090
2,963
2020-07-100
2,963
2020-07-110
2,963
2020-07-120
2,963
2020-07-130
2,963
2020-07-140
2,963
2020-07-150
2,963
2020-07-160
2,963
2020-07-170
2,963
2020-07-180
2,963
2020-07-190
2,963
2020-07-200
2,963
2020-07-210
2,963
2020-07-220
2,963
2020-07-230
2,963
2020-07-240
2,963
2020-07-250
2,963
2020-07-260
2,963
2020-07-270
2,963
2020-07-280
2,963
2020-07-290
2,963
2020-07-300
2,963
2020-07-310
2,963
2020-08-010
2,963
2020-08-020
2,963
2020-08-030
2,963
2020-08-040
2,963
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages

Projections COVID-19 deaths in 50 states

U.S. North Carolina Indiana Wyoming Utah Arizona Montana Kentucky California Kansas Delaware Florida Pennsylvania Iowa Mississippi Illinois Texas Connecticut Georgia Maryland Virginia Idaho Oregon Vermont Maine Oklahoma Tennessee Alabama Arkansas South Carolina Washington Nebraska West Virginia Colorado Massachusetts Missouri Alaska North Dakota Wisconsin Nevada District of Columbia New York Rhode Island Hawaii South Dakota Minnesota New Jersey Michigan New Mexico New Hampshire Louisiana Ohio