COVID-19 deaths and projections in Georgia

The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is an independent global health research center at the University of Washington [1].

The COVID-19 forecast model developed by the institute was cited by the US government and has been used by local governments to predict the load pressure on the local medical institutions caused by the epidemic [2]，[3]. This article uses the data released by the Institute to illustrate the projected COVID-19 deaths in the United. Predictions are limited to the first wave of the pandemic up to August.

    Daily deaths;     Projected Daily deaths;     Total deaths;     Projected Total deaths

Date	Daily deaths		Total deaths
2020-03-12	1		1
2020-03-13	0		1
2020-03-14	0		1
2020-03-15	0		1
2020-03-16	0		1
2020-03-17	0		1
2020-03-18	2		3
2020-03-19	7		10
2020-03-20	3		13
2020-03-21	1		14
2020-03-22	11		25
2020-03-23	0		25
2020-03-24	7		32
2020-03-25	8		40
2020-03-26	8		48
2020-03-27	16		64
2020-03-28	5		69
2020-03-29	11		80
2020-03-30	7		87
2020-03-31	24		111
2020-04-01	28		139
2020-04-02	24		163
2020-04-03	21		184
2020-04-04	45		229
2020-04-05	43		272
2020-04-06	49		320
2020-04-07	52		373
2020-04-08	58		430
2020-04-09	63		493
2020-04-10	73		567
2020-04-11	79		646
2020-04-12	85		731
2020-04-13	96		827
2020-04-14	99		926
2020-04-15	103		1,029
2020-04-16	109		1,139
2020-04-17	115		1,254
2020-04-18	124		1,377
2020-04-19	126		1,503
2020-04-20	137		1,640
2020-04-21	137		1,777
2020-04-22	132		1,909
2020-04-23	130		2,040
2020-04-24	123		2,162
2020-04-25	120		2,282
2020-04-26	111		2,393
2020-04-27	100		2,493
2020-04-28	85		2,578
2020-04-29	72		2,650
2020-04-30	67		2,717
2020-05-01	65		2,781
2020-05-02	60		2,841
2020-05-03	59		2,901
2020-05-04	51		2,952
2020-05-05	51		3,003
2020-05-06	46		3,048
2020-05-07	43		3,091
2020-05-08	38		3,129
2020-05-09	36		3,164
2020-05-10	33		3,198
2020-05-11	29		3,226
2020-05-12	25		3,252
2020-05-13	23		3,275
2020-05-14	20		3,295
2020-05-15	18		3,313
2020-05-16	15		3,328
2020-05-17	13		3,341
2020-05-18	11		3,353
2020-05-19	10		3,363
2020-05-20	8		3,371
2020-05-21	7		3,378
2020-05-22	6		3,385
2020-05-23	5		3,390
2020-05-24	4		3,394
2020-05-25	4		3,398
2020-05-26	3		3,401
2020-05-27	2		3,403
2020-05-28	2		3,405
2020-05-29	2		3,407
2020-05-30	1		3,408
2020-05-31	1		3,409
2020-06-01	1		3,410
2020-06-02	1		3,411
2020-06-03	1		3,411
2020-06-04	0		3,412
2020-06-05	0		3,412
2020-06-06	0		3,412
2020-06-07	0		3,412
2020-06-08	0		3,412
2020-06-09	0		3,412
2020-06-10	0		3,413
2020-06-11	0		3,413
2020-06-12	0		3,413
2020-06-13	0		3,413
2020-06-14	0		3,413
2020-06-15	0		3,413
2020-06-16	0		3,413
2020-06-17	0		3,413
2020-06-18	0		3,413
2020-06-19	0		3,413
2020-06-20	0		3,413
2020-06-21	0		3,413
2020-06-22	0		3,413
2020-06-23	0		3,413
2020-06-24	0		3,413
2020-06-25	0		3,413
2020-06-26	0		3,413
2020-06-27	0		3,413
2020-06-28	0		3,413
2020-06-29	0		3,413
2020-06-30	0		3,413
2020-07-01	0		3,413
2020-07-02	0		3,413
2020-07-03	0		3,413
2020-07-04	0		3,413
2020-07-05	0		3,413
2020-07-06	0		3,413
2020-07-07	0		3,413
2020-07-08	0		3,413
2020-07-09	0		3,413
2020-07-10	0		3,413
2020-07-11	0		3,413
2020-07-12	0		3,413
2020-07-13	0		3,413
2020-07-14	0		3,413
2020-07-15	0		3,413
2020-07-16	0		3,413
2020-07-17	0		3,413
2020-07-18	0		3,413
2020-07-19	0		3,413
2020-07-20	0		3,413
2020-07-21	0		3,413
2020-07-22	0		3,413
2020-07-23	0		3,413
2020-07-24	0		3,413
2020-07-25	0		3,413
2020-07-26	0		3,413
2020-07-27	0		3,413
2020-07-28	0		3,413
2020-07-29	0		3,413
2020-07-30	0		3,413
2020-07-31	0		3,413
2020-08-01	0		3,413
2020-08-02	0		3,413
2020-08-03	0		3,413
2020-08-04	0		3,413
Data source: Data release April 5, 2020.

Reference

[1] IHME

[2] COVID-19 projections

[3] Model cited by White House says 82,000 people could die from coronavirus by August, even with social distancing

Risk of COVID-19 to people of different ages